OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
ABDL close 681.55	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	638.00 6.83% above	628.80 2026-09-01	8.39% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 15	10.7% → 7.4% → 6.8% → 6.7%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-16	95%

ABDL · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 628.80 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 15)
4 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.7%
8.39% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.35x
day/20D breakout volume 0.96x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-16
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.45% · failure buffer 2.71% · pre-breakout zone 6.10% · extended 9.03%