OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
ACE close 1,232.00	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	1,196.00 3.01% above	1,189.00 2026-09-04	3.62% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 9	10.2% → 8.7%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-17	75%

ACE · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 1,189.00 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 9)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 8.7%
3.62% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.71x
day/20D breakout volume 0.99x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-17
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.32% · failure buffer 1.91% · pre-breakout zone 4.31% · extended 8.00%