OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
AEGISVOPAK close 297.00	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	RETESTING_PIVOT	299.50 0.83% below	298.70 2026-09-03	0.57% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 13	15.8% → 14.2% → 8.7% → 5.8%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-15	100%

AEGISVOPAK · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 298.70 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 13)
4 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.8%
0.57% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.66x
day/20D breakout volume 0.26x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-15
stage detail RETESTING_PIVOT

Thresholds: confirm 0.51% · failure buffer 3.05% · pre-breakout zone 6.87% · extended 10.18%