OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

PRE_BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
JKCEMENT close 5,074.00	PRE_BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT_PENDING	AWAITING_CONFIRMATION	5,170.00 1.86% below	5,170.00 2026-09-08	1.86% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 14	8.7% → 6.6% → 6.8%	close above pivot lacks volume/follow-through confirmation	90%

JKCEMENT · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 5,170.00 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 14)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.8%
1.86% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.92x
day/20D breakout volume 2.40x
close above pivot lacks volume/follow-through confirmation
stage detail AWAITING_CONFIRMATION

Thresholds: confirm 0.34% · failure buffer 2.05% · pre-breakout zone 4.61% · extended 8.00%