OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
KIRLOSENG close 2,250.00	BREAKOUT_PENDING	BREAKOUT	RETESTING_PIVOT	2,317.10 2.90% below	2,317.10 2026-09-09	2.90% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 4	13.1% → 7.0%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-29	87%

KIRLOSENG · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 2,317.10 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 4)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 7.0%
2.90% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 2.18x
day/20D breakout volume 0.95x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-29
stage detail RETESTING_PIVOT

Thresholds: confirm 0.53% · failure buffer 3.20% · pre-breakout zone 7.00% · extended 10.68%