OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
LEMONTREE close 107.50	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT_PENDING	INTRADAY_PIVOT_TEST	107.49 0.01% above	107.49 2026-09-07	0.01% above	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 19	7.9% → 5.3%	pivot crossed intraday but close confirmation is not complete	70%

LEMONTREE · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 107.49 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 19)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.2%
0.01% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 2.13x
day/20D breakout volume 13.86x
pivot crossed intraday but close confirmation is not complete
stage detail INTRADAY_PIVOT_TEST

Thresholds: confirm 0.25% · failure buffer 1.50% · pre-breakout zone 3.38% · extended 8.00%