OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V3 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
LLOYDSME close 1,780.00	FAILED	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	1,859.40 4.27% below	1,859.40 2026-09-03	4.27% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 13	11.7% → 6.4%	breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-23	75%

LLOYDSME · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 1,859.40 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 13)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.4%
4.27% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 1.27x
day/20D breakout volume 2.85x
breakout confirmed from prior close/volume behavior on 2026-09-23
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.32% · failure buffer 1.91% · pre-breakout zone 4.30% · extended 8.00%