OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-10-01Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

1Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT_PENDING: 1

V3 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
RBLBANK close 414.55	BREAKOUT_PENDING	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	420.40 1.39% below	420.40 2026-09-09	1.39% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 11	9.0% → 4.2%	confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes	65%

RBLBANK · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 420.40 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 11)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 4.2%
1.39% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.81x
day/20D breakout volume 1.17x
confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.29% · failure buffer 1.73% · pre-breakout zone 3.88% · extended 8.00%