OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V3 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v3-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V3 rule: pivot comes from confirmed swing resistance preceding the final contraction trough. A fresh breakout spike needs future bars before it can become a confirmed swing, so the pivot cannot chase the breakout upward the next day.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. Switching stage/pivot definitions without rebuilding historical signals and retraining would create model-population drift.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V3 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V3 structural pivot	V3 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
SUNDARMFIN close 4,353.20	FAILED	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	4,665.70 6.70% below	4,665.70 2026-08-27	6.70% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 14	12.2% → 4.9% → 8.4% → 11.4%	confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes	75%

SUNDARMFIN · V3 reasons

V3 structural pivot 4,665.70 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 14)
4 contraction(s); tightening 33%
final contraction 11.4%
6.70% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.90x
day/20D breakout volume 1.20x
confirmed breakout later lost pivot on multiple closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.30% · failure buffer 1.80% · pre-breakout zone 4.06% · extended 8.00%