OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V4 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-30Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v4-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V4 rule: structural pivot comes from confirmed pre-trough resistance, while breakout stage reflects the CURRENT close. A prior breakout is downgraded when the latest price falls outside the healthy retest zone; independent swing touches replace inflated bar-count touches.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V4 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V4 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V3 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V4 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Confidence
IKS close 1,755.40	FAILED	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	1,876.20 6.44% below	1,876.20 2026-08-19	6.44% below	CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER touches 2	11.6% → 8.8% → 7.4%	confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes	76%

IKS · V4 reasons

V3 structural pivot 1,876.20 (CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER, touches 2)
3 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 7.4%
6.44% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.96x
day/20D breakout volume 0.67x
confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.37% · healthy retest 1.30% · failure buffer 2.04% · pre-breakout zone 5.01% · extended 8.00%