OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-29Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

BREAKOUT: 1

V4 shadow

BREAKOUT: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
BELRISE close 240.52	BREAKOUT	BREAKOUT	CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT	239.70 0.87% above	239.70 2026-07-15	0.34% above	CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER touches 3	15.7% → 6.0%	confirmed breakout remains accepted above structural pivot	PASS 4/4 checks	84%

BELRISE · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 239.70 (CONFIRMED_RESISTANCE_CLUSTER, touches 3)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 6.0%
0.34% above structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.90x
day/20D breakout volume 0.54x
separate quality gate PASS (4/4 checks)
confirmed breakout remains accepted above structural pivot
stage detail CONFIRMED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.29% · healthy retest 1.01% · failure buffer 1.75% · pre-breakout zone 3.88% · extended 8.00%