OmmAlpha · VCP Stage Engine V5 Shadow

Read-only live comparison. Nothing on this page writes to production tables or changes ML predictions.

2026-09-29Live scan date

1Rows shadow-tested

0Stage classifications changed

vcp-stage-v5-shadow-1.0Shadow engine

Core V5 rule: stage describes the pattern lifecycle only. Structural maturity, pivot proximity and breakout acceptance determine DEVELOPING / DEVELOPED / PRE_BREAKOUT / BREAKOUT_PENDING / BREAKOUT / EXTENDED / FAILED. Trend-template, RS, moving-average alignment and 52-week-high context are reported separately as a quality gate, so a mature base is never mislabeled DEVELOPING merely because quality is weaker.

Why shadow mode first: Phase 2A ML was trained on the old detector population. V5 remains read-only until live classifications look sensible; production promotion must be followed by historical signal rebuild and ML retraining.

Stage distribution

Current production

FAILED: 1

V4 shadow

FAILED: 1

Live stage comparison

Symbol	Old stage	V5 stage	Detail	Old pivot	V5 structural pivot	V4 distance	Pivot evidence	Contractions	Breakout evidence	Quality	Confidence
LEMONTREE close 104.16	FAILED	FAILED	FAILED_BREAKOUT	107.49 3.10% below	107.49 2026-09-07	3.10% below	CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE touches 1	7.9% → 5.3%	confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes	WEAK 0/4 checks	53%

LEMONTREE · V4 reasons

V5 structural pivot 107.49 (CONFIRMED_SWING_RESISTANCE, touches 1)
2 contraction(s); tightening 100%
final contraction 5.2%
3.10% below structural pivot
5D/20D volume 0.82x
day/20D breakout volume 0.78x
separate quality gate WEAK (0/4 checks)
confirmed breakout lost structural pivot on consecutive closes
stage detail FAILED_BREAKOUT

Thresholds: confirm 0.25% · healthy retest 0.76% · failure buffer 1.75% · pre-breakout zone 3.00% · extended 8.00%